NCAA Tournament March Madness

#259 Texas St

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

Chat with the Bracketologist | How does this work?


Projection: need to automatically qualify

Texas State’s résumé shows a team that can win the games it should at home, with solid victories over UT San Antonio, Texas Southern, Abilene Christian and Arkansas–Little Rock and a gritty conference win over South Alabama that demonstrate competency in close games, but its profile is dragged down by ugly results away from home and at neutral sites, most notably road defeats at Bowling Green and Tulane and neutral losses to Seattle and Lehigh along with a lopsided loss to Arkansas State that undercuts its upside. The remaining slate puts several meaningful chances in front of the committee because the Bobcats must prove they can win away from home against the likes of Troy, Southern Miss and James Madison and can add quality home wins against opponents such as Louisiana, Marshall and Old Dominion; success in those spots would neutralize the bad losses, while continued struggles on the road will leave the résumé looking thin.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Bowling Green113L83-48
11/8@Tulane196L79-71
11/12UT San Antonio285W80-69
11/15TX Southern330W77-67
11/18Abilene Chr211W63-49
11/21Ark Little Rock312W65-56
11/28(N)Seattle112L66-52
11/29(N)Lehigh311L78-74
12/3@Rice239L77-72
12/10Southern Univ243W86-83
12/17Arkansas St132L89-70
12/20South Alabama192W67-65
12/31@Troy13818%
1/3@ULM35168%
1/8@Southern Miss19829%
1/10@Arkansas St13217%
1/14Louisiana31674%
1/17Southern Miss19850%
1/22@Coastal Car22434%
1/24@James Madison21532%
1/28Marshall15741%
1/31Old Dominion22156%
2/4@Ga Southern21632%
2/11Troy13836%
2/14ULM35185%
2/19@South Alabama19228%
2/21@Louisiana31654%
2/27Appalachian St24860%