NCAA Tournament March Madness

#244 Texas St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Texas State's profile reads like a team that has flashes but not the résumé of an at-large selection. Best moments such as road wins at Georgia Southern and ULM and a home victory over Western Michigan show it can beat quality midmajor opposition both away from home and on its own floor, and a league win over Louisiana adds a useful signature. Those bright spots are undercut by damaging road defeats at Bowling Green and Tulane and a rough trip to James Madison and a lopsided outing at Troy that create real doubts about consistency against stronger nonconference foes. Neutral-site setbacks to Seattle and Southern Miss and a narrow road loss at Arkansas State underscore the absence of a marquee nonconference scalp and the presence of losses the committee will notice. With limited high-end wins the clearest path for Texas State runs through the conference tournament where securing the automatic bid is the team's best route into the NCAA field.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Bowling Green149L83-48
11/8@Tulane211L79-71
11/12UT San Antonio340W80-69
11/15TX Southern307W77-67
11/18Abilene Chr238W63-49
11/21Ark Little Rock308W65-56
11/28(N)Seattle115L66-52
11/29(N)Lehigh295L78-74
12/3@Rice223L77-72
12/10Southern Univ278W86-83
12/17Arkansas St153L89-70
12/20South Alabama206W67-65
12/31@Troy158L100-80
1/3@ULM350W84-79
1/8@Southern Miss221L80-70
1/10@Arkansas St153L83-82
1/14Louisiana315W59-54
1/17Southern Miss221W74-67
1/22@Coastal Car230L72-70
1/24@James Madison213L82-57
1/28Marshall196W72-68
1/31Old Dominion248W81-64
2/4@Ga Southern250W77-71
2/7W Michigan275W77-61
2/11Troy158W74-62
2/14ULM350W95-84
2/19@South Alabama206W90-82
2/21@Louisiana315L67-54
2/27Appalachian St181W60-57
3/6(N)Southern Miss221L81-77